Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Talleres Cordoba — 37%
Pure model vs market (1 · Talleres Cordoba): model 39% · market 38% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Talleres Cordoba 37.1%, draw 32.9%, win Velez Sarsfield 29.9%. Model favourite — Talleres Cordoba.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Talleres Cordoba.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Taleres - Veles Sarsfild, 31 iyulya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, tochnyy schet. Championship Argentina po futbolu (Primera) 2026, Clausura. 2-y Round. Taleres - Veles Sarsfild, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.52 39.7% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% | |
| X | 2.84 35.2% | 2.78 36.0% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.82 35.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 3.15 31.8% | 3.26 30.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.63 61.4% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 2.19 45.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.41 70.9% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.12 89.3% |
| 1x | 1.32 75.8% | 1.29 77.5% | 5.00 20.0% |
| x2 | 1.46 68.5% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.25 80.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 0_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 2_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 3_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 3_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.35 | 2.7 | 3.65 |
| Winline | 2.17 | 2.85 | 3.85 |
| Fonbet | 2.35 | 2.7 | 3.65 |
| Betcity | 2.16 | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.12 | 2.9 | 3.95 |
Full head-to-head historyTalleres Cordoba - Velez Sarsfield
Taleres Veles Sarsfild 18 Games 18 7 Wins 8 5 Draws 7 6 Losses 3 17 Scored 19 15 Conceded 13 26 Points 31 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13.33 Shots on goal 15 4.22 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.78 Uglovye 4.17 1.17 Offsaydy 1.11.33 Foly 10.72 53.67 % vladeniya myachom 55.28 2.28 Warnings 2.33 0.17 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Ronaldo Martines Timoteo Chamorro 1:0 27' Rodrigo Alendro Elias Gomes 1 45' Thiago Silvero Lukas Robertone 1:2 79' Diego Valdes Thiago Aguirre 1:3 90' Nakazaniya Matias Pellegrini 34' Federiko Fattori 39' Valentin Fascendini 90+2'
The Talleres Cordoba - Velez Sarsfield breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
