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Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg
03.08.2026 00:15 UTC
03.08.2026 00:15 UTC
Not started

Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg

Tigre - Belgrano

Football
Tigre
Tigre
- : -
Not started
B
Belgrano

Tigre meet Belgrano on August 3, 2026 in the Copa Libertadores. Round of 16. First leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tigre 1-0-1, Belgrano 0-1-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Tigre — 62%

1 · Tigre ✓ Pick62.3%
X · draw18.2%
2 · Belgrano19.5%

Model estimate: win Tigre 62.3%, draw 18.2%, win Belgrano 19.5%. Model favourite — Tigre.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tigre (odds1.80) Score 2:1 confidence 55%
  • • Model backs Tigre: probability 55% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tigre - Belgrano August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 00:15 UTC
Match center

Tigre - Belgrano

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tigre - 62.3% model pick
Draw - 18.2% draw risk
Belgrano - 19.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.3% / 18.2% / 19.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,640 / 1,392 Tigre / Belgrano
RD 187 / 281 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,267-2,013 / 830-1,953 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Tigre
W L
01.08 23:30 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Tigre 3:1 RasingRasing
25.07 15:45 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Tigre 0:1 Estudiantes Rio KuartoEstudiantes Rio Kuarto
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Belgrano
L D
01.08 21:00 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Belgrano 0:1 Argentinos Khuniors
23.07 20:30 UTC Argentina: Liga Profesional - Clausura Standings
Belgrano 1:1 Rosario Sentral
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTigre - Belgrano

Tigre
0 matches total
Belgrano
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history