Japan. Regional League
Japan. Regional League
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Japan. Regional League

San-Lorenso (Zh) - Independiente Avellaneda (w)

Futbol
San-Lorenso (Zh)
San-Lorenso (Zh)
2 : 0
Finished
Independiente Avellaneda (w)
Independiente Avellaneda (w)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1San-Lorenso (Zh)73%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San-Lorenso (Zh) - Independiente Avellaneda (w) July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: San-Lorenso (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 6.30 / 2 9.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 25.3%
1 79.0%
X 12.7%
2 8.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Campeonato Femenino - Apertura

Team stats

San-Lorenso (Zh)
WWWLWWWWDW
W 8 • D 1 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:2.1 : 0.3
2 place, 26 pts
Independiente Avellaneda (w)
LLLWDWWLLL
W 3 • D 1 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:0.7 : 1.6
14 place, 10 pts
Head-to-head: 8 — San-Lorenso (Zh) 4, draws 2, Independiente Avellaneda (w) 2 (goals 11:11)
  • San Lorenzo (W) — Independiente (W)2025-05-23 1:1
  • Independiente (W) — San Lorenzo (W)2024-08-25 0:1
  • San Lorenzo (W) — Independiente (W)2024-03-29 0:1
  • San Lorenzo (W) — Independiente (W)2023-10-09 2:2
  • San Lorenzo (W) — Independiente (W)2023-05-07 1:4

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

San-Lorenso (Zh)
Well rested
  • Rest days: 5
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Independiente Avellaneda (w)
Well rested
  • Rest days: 8
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

San-Lorenso (Zh) - Independiente Avellaneda (w)

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.77 market consensus · line only
X 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 3.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 1.60 62.5%
yes 3.30 30.3% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
x2 3.05 32.8% 3.40 29.4% 11.00 9.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.71 58.5%
X 2.45 40.8%
8.60 11.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.68 59.5%
Under 1 2.06 48.5%
Match center
San-Lorenso (Zh)
W W
29.06 18:00 UTC Argentina: Primera A Women - Apertura Standings
San-Lorenso (Zh) 1:0 Urakan (Zh)Urakan (Zh)
14.06 13:30 UTC Argentina: Primera A Women - Apertura Standings
San-Lorenso (Zh) 1:0 River Pleyt (Zh)River Pleyt (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Independiente Avellaneda (w)
L
26.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera A Women - Apertura Standings
Independiente Avellaneda (w) 1:3 Taleres Kordoba (Zh)Taleres Kordoba (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points