Argentina: Primera A Women - Clausura Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Atletico Belgrano (w) — 49%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Belgrano (w)): model 53% · market 48% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Atletico Belgrano (w) 48.7%, draw 29.0%, win Huracan (w) 22.4%. Model favourite — Atletico Belgrano (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 2.22 45.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% |
| x2 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.56 39.1% | |
| X | 1.90 52.6% |
| 5.20 19.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
Atletico Belgrano (w)
Sotsial Atletiko Televison (Zh)
Huracan (w)
River Pleyt (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyAtletico Belgrano (w) - Huracan (w)
The Atletico Belgrano (w) - Huracan (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
