Argentina: Primera A Women - Clausura Standings
Nyuells Old Boys (Zh) - Lanus (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Nyuells Old Boys (Zh) — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Nyuells Old Boys (Zh)): model 30% · market 41% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Nyuells Old Boys (Zh) 39.5%, draw 29.1%, win Lanus (w) 31.5%. Model favourite — Nyuells Old Boys (Zh).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.05)
- • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nyuells Old Boys (Zh) - Lanus (w) August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / X 3.10 / 2 3.19
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Nyuells Old Boys (Zh) - Lanus (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.47 68.0% | 1.56 64.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| X | 1.88 53.2% |
| 4.01 24.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.32 43.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.54 64.9% |
Nyuells Old Boys (Zh)
San-Luis (Zh)
San-Lorenso (Zh)
Boka Khuniors (Zh)
Union Santa-Fe (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyNyuells Old Boys (Zh) - Lanus (w)
Match history
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The Nyuells Old Boys (Zh) - Lanus (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form