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Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana

30.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Not started

Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana

Arsenal Sarandi - Brown Adrogue

Football

Arsenal Sarandi

- : -

Not started

Brown Adrogue

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Arsenal Sarandi — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Arsenal Sarandi): model 50% · market 57% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Arsenal Sarandi ✓ Pick56.8%

X · draw25.1%

2 · Brown Adrogue18.1%

Model estimate: win Arsenal Sarandi 56.8%, draw 25.1%, win Brown Adrogue 18.1%. Model favourite — Arsenal Sarandi.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Arsenal Sarandi (odds1.61) Score 2:1 confidence 57%

• Model backs Arsenal Sarandi: probability 57% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
• no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arsenal Sarandi - Brown Adrogue July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal Sarandi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.70 / 2 5.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 ✓ Pick 57.2%

X 25.0%

2 17.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Arsenal Sarandi - Brown Adrogue

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Arsenal Sarandi 57.2% 56.8% market and model agree

Draw 25.0% 25.1% draw risk

Brown Adrogue 17.8% 18.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 56.8% / 25.1% / 18.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,590 / 1,364 Arsenal Sarandi / Brown Adrogue

RD 169 / 170 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,251-1,929 / 1,025-1,703 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.20 market consensus · no value · model 18.1%

X 3.66 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 56.8%

Double chance

12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 74.9%

1X 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 81.9%

X2 2.13 market consensus · no value · model 43.2%

Handicap

2 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.10 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.70 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.70 58.8%
yes	2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%
1x	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%
x2	2.10 47.6%	2.16 46.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.16 46.3%
X	2.09 47.9%
	5.90 17.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.99 50.3%
Under 1	1.73 57.8%

Match center

Arsenal Sarandi

D W L W W

25.07 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Arsenal Sarandi 0:0 Deportivo Armenio

18.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Arsenal Sarandi 1:0 Flandriya

14.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Arsenal Sarandi 0:1 Arkhentino de Kilmes

04.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Arsenal Sarandi 2:1 Komunikasones

13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Arsenal Sarandi 2:1 Deportivo Camioneros

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.6 Conceded

10 Points

Brown Adrogue

W L L D D

25.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Brown Adrogue 1:0 Arkhentino de Merlo

18.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Brown Adrogue 0:1 Taleres Eskalada

14.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Brown Adrogue 0:1 Laferrere

10.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Brown Adrogue 0:0 Itusaingo

13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Brown Adrogue 1:1 Defensores Yunidos

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArsenal Sarandi - Brown Adrogue

Arsenal Sarandi

0 matches total

Brown Adrogue

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Arsenal Sarandi - Brown Adrogue

AI match prediction Arsenal Sarandi - Brown Adrogue July 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Arsenal Sarandi - Brown Adrogue

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history