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WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
04.07.2026 15:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Ituzaingo - Villa San Carlos

Futbol
Ituzaingo
Ituzaingo
1 : 3
Finished
Villa San Carlos
Villa San Carlos

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ituzaingo - Villa San Carlos July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villa San Carlos.

Line favourite market consensus: Villa San Carlos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.74 / X 2.88 / 2 2.51
  • 1X2 market: Ituzaingo 32.9% / X 31.3% / Villa San Carlos 35.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.1%
1 32.9%
X 31.3%
2 35.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Primera B Metropolitana

Team stats

Ituzaingo
LLLDLLWLDL
W 1 • D 2 • L 7 (10)
Goals average:1 : 1.8
22 place, 9 pts
Villa San Carlos
LLDDLLDDDD
W 0 • D 6 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.4 : 1.2
21 place, 18 pts
Head-to-head: 7 — Ituzaingo 3, draws 2, Villa San Carlos 2 (goals 8:9)
  • Villa San Carlos — Ituzaingó2026-02-22 3:1
  • Villa San Carlos — Ituzaingó2023-08-05 1:1
  • Ituzaingó — Villa San Carlos2023-04-07 1:0
  • Villa San Carlos — Ituzaingó2022-07-03 1:2
  • Ituzaingó — Villa San Carlos2022-03-09 2:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Ituzaingo - Villa San Carlos

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.52 market consensus · line only
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.70 37.0% 2.74 36.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.85 35.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.55 39.2%
Х 2.95 33.9% 2.88 34.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.70 37.0%
2.55 39.2% 2.51 39.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.30 76.9% 1.71 58.5%
yes 3.10 32.3% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.43 69.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 11.50 8.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.66 27.3%
Х 1.88 53.2%
3.27 30.6%
Match center
Ituzaingo
L W L
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Ituzaingo 2:3 FlandriyaFlandriya
05.06 19:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Ituzaingo 2:0 Real PilarReal Pilar
01.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Ituzaingo 0:2 Arkhentino de KilmesArkhentino de Kilmes
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points
Villa San Carlos
L
31.05 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Villa San Carlos 0:2 EkskursionistasEkskursionistas
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points