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Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana

31.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Not started

Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana

Real Pilar - Embajadores Bogota

Football

Real Pilar

- : -

Not started

Embajadores Bogota

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Real Pilar — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Real Pilar): model 42% · market 53% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Real Pilar52.4%

X · draw27.9%

2 · Embajadores Bogota19.7%

Model estimate: win Real Pilar 52.4%, draw 27.9%, win Embajadores Bogota 19.7%. Model favourite — Real Pilar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.27) Score 1:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.27)
• edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Pilar - Embajadores Bogota July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Pilar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.30 / 2 4.89

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 53.0%

X 28.1%

2 19.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Real Pilar - Embajadores Bogota

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Real Pilar 53.1% 52.4% market and model agree

Draw 28.0% 27.9% draw risk

Embajadores Bogota 18.9% 19.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 52.4% / 27.9% / 19.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,391 / 1,386 Real Pilar / Embajadores Bogota

RD 157 / 165 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,077-1,704 / 1,056-1,716 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.85 market consensus · no value · model 19.7%

X 3.27 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.73 market consensus · no value · model 52.4%

Double chance

12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 72.1%

1X 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 80.3%

X2 1.96 market consensus · no value · model 47.6%

Handicap

2 +1 1.49 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.46 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.64 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.64 61.0%
yes	2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.29 77.5%
1x	1.15 87.0%
x2	1.96 51.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.38 42.0%
X	1.97 50.8%
	5.50 18.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	2.21 45.3%
Under 1	1.60 62.5%

Match center

Real Pilar

W L L D W

25.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Real Pilar 2:1 Komunikasones

18.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Real Pilar 0:1 Dokk Sud

14.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Real Pilar 2:3 Deportivo Merlo

05.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Real Pilar 1:1 Sportivo Italyano

14.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Real Pilar 1:0 Liniers

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Embajadores Bogota

D D L D D

25.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Embajadores Bogota 1:1 UAI Urkisa

18.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Embajadores Bogota 0:0 Villa Dalmine

14.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Embajadores Bogota 0:2 Ekskursionistas

05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Embajadores Bogota 1:1 Arkhentino de Merlo

13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Embajadores Bogota 1:1 Braun Adroge

0 Wins

4 Draws

1 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Pilar - Embajadores Bogota

Real Pilar

0 matches total

Embajadores Bogota

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Real Pilar - Embajadores Bogota

AI match prediction Real Pilar - Embajadores Bogota July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Real Pilar - Embajadores Bogota

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history