Match center
Start
30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started
Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana
San Luis Quillota (w) - Deportivo Merlo
-
:
-
Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 San Luis Quillota (w) — 56%
Model estimate: win San Luis Quillota (w) 56.1%, draw 20.9%, win Deportivo Merlo 23.1%. Model favourite — San Luis Quillota (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1San Luis Quillota (w) (odds1.78)
Score 2:1
Over 2.5
(odds2.75)
Handicap H1 +1.5
(odds1.25)
confidence 56%
- • Model backs San-Martin Bursako: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1
- • Total: Over 2.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
- • at line 2.5 (odds 2.75)
- • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 2:1 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.25).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction San Luis Quillota (w) - Deportivo Merlo July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
San Luis Quillota (w) - Deportivo Merlo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
San Luis Quillota (w)
-
56.1%
model pick
Draw
-
20.9%
draw risk
Deportivo Merlo
-
23.1%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
56.1% / 20.9% / 23.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,383 / 1,354
San Luis Quillota (w) / Deportivo Merlo
RD
161 / 149
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,061-1,704 / 1,056-1,652
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
Total
Over 2.5
2.75
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 3.50 28.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 7.20 13.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
Match center
San Luis Quillota (w)
L
L
W
D
L
San Luis Quillota (w)
0:2
Deportivo Camioneros
Deportivo Camioneros
San Luis Quillota (w)
1:2
Sportivo Italyano
Sportivo Italyano
San Luis Quillota (w)
2:1
Itusaingo
Itusaingo
San Luis Quillota (w)
1:1
Liniers
Liniers
San Luis Quillota (w)
0:2
Villa Dalmine
Villa Dalmine
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Deportivo Merlo
L
D
W
D
L
Deportivo Merlo
1:2
Vilya San-Karlos
Vilya San-Karlos
Deportivo Merlo
1:1
Liniers
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
3:2
Real Pilar
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
0:0
UAI Urkisa
UAI Urkisa
Deportivo Merlo
1:2
Villa Dalmine
Villa Dalmine
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySan Luis Quillota (w) - Deportivo Merlo
San Luis Quillota (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The San Luis Quillota (w) - Deportivo Merlo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form