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WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

San Martin Burzaco - Liniers

Futbol
San Martin Burzaco
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1
Finished
Liniers
Liniers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San Martin Burzaco - Liniers July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like San Martin Burzaco.

Line favourite market consensus: San Martin Burzaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.23 / X 2.71 / 2 3.45
  • 1X2 market: San Martin Burzaco 40.5% / X 33.3% / Liniers 26.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 40.5%
X 33.3%
2 26.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Primera B Metropolitana

Team stats

San Martin Burzaco
DWLWWWLLDD
W 4 • D 3 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.7 : 0.7
12 place, 30 pts
Liniers
LWDLDWLLDD
W 2 • D 4 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.6 : 1
16 place, 25 pts
Head-to-head: 12 — San Martin Burzaco 1, draws 5, Liniers 6 (goals 4:12)
  • Liniers — San Martín Burzaco2026-02-22 0:0
  • San Martín Burzaco — Liniers2025-07-19 0:0
  • Liniers — San Martín Burzaco2025-03-02 5:0
  • San Martín Burzaco — Liniers2024-11-01 0:1
  • Liniers — San Martín Burzaco2024-06-15 1:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

San Martin Burzaco
Well rested
  • Rest days: 8
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Liniers
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

  San Martin Burzaco Liniers
Over 2.5 20% —
Average total 1.8 —
Both teams to score (BTTS) 20% —
Matches counted 5 —

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

San Martin Burzaco - Liniers

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.42 market consensus · line only
X 2.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 8.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.49 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8%
Х 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.55 39.2%
3.45 29.0% 3.93 25.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.13 32.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.49 67.1%
yes 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 11.00 9.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.45 29.0%
Х 1.73 57.8%
4.14 24.2%
Match center
San Martin Burzaco
L L W
12.06 21:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
San Martin Burzaco 0:2 Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
San Martin Burzaco 0:2 EkskursionistasEkskursionistas
31.05 20:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
San Martin Burzaco 2:0 Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Liniers
L L W
14.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Liniers 0:1 Real PilarReal Pilar
08.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Liniers 1:2 UAI UrkisaUAI Urkisa
31.05 13:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Liniers 1:0 Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points