Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
13.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas

Football
Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 1
Finished
Excursionistas
Excursionistas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Excursionistas.

Line favourite market consensus: Excursionistas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.84 / X 2.67 / 2 2.63
  • 1X2 market: Sportivo Italiano 31.8% / X 33.8% / Excursionistas 34.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 31.8%
X 33.8%
2 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B Metropolitana
League table
Sportivo Italiano
#633 ptsGP 209-6-521:17
LWLLW
Excursionistas
#141 ptsGP 2012-5-327:11
WWWDW
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sportivo Italiano
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.90 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.00 xGA 0.87
1 +2.75 X -3.90 2 +1.20 1 (DNB) +1.37
Excursionistas
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.50 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.17 xGA 0.92
1 -0.19 X -0.30 2 -4.00 1 (DNB) +0.76

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Sportivo Italiano
Rating 1550
Excursionistas
Rating 1618

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 13.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas

Form 0/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 2.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.60 38.5%
X 2.75 36.4% 2.68 37.3% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.50 40.0%
2.65 37.7% 2.61 38.3% 2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.25 80.0%
yes 3.30 30.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.25 80.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
11.00 9.1%
8.50 11.8%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
Match center
Excursionistas
W W
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Excursionistas 2:0 San-Martin BursakoSan-Martin Bursako
31.05 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings
Excursionistas 2:0 Vilya San-KarlosVilya San-Karlos
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points