WC 2026. Final

05.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

WC 2026. Final

Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar

Futbol

Sportivo Italiano

1 : 1

Finished

Real Pilar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sportivo Italiano.

Line favourite market consensus: Sportivo Italiano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 2.70 / 2 3.06
1X2 market: Sportivo Italiano 37.0% / X 33.5% / Real Pilar 29.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%

1 37.0%

X 33.5%

2 29.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Primera B Metropolitana

Team stats

Sportivo Italiano

WDDWLLWLLD

W 3 • D 3 • L 4 (10)

Goals average:0.8 : 0.9

6 place, 34 pts

Real Pilar

DLLDLWLWDD

W 2 • D 4 • L 4 (10)

Goals average:0.7 : 1.1

7 place, 33 pts

Head-to-head: 11 — Sportivo Italiano 2, draws 7, Real Pilar 2 (goals 13:14)

Real Pilar — Sportivo Italiano2026-02-21 1:2
Real Pilar — Sportivo Italiano2025-08-30 1:1
Sportivo Italiano — Real Pilar2025-04-12 2:2
Real Pilar — Sportivo Italiano2023-08-05 1:1
Sportivo Italiano — Real Pilar2023-04-01 1:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Sportivo Italiano

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Real Pilar

Well rested

Rest days: 8
Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

	Sportivo Italiano	Real Pilar
Over 2.5	—	20%
Average total	—	1.6
Both teams to score (BTTS)	—	20%
Matches counted	—	5

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center

Start 05.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar

Form 1/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.07 market consensus · line only

X 5.90 Fonbet · line only

1 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.09 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 5.90 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 0 2.08 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.45 40.8%	2.52 39.7%	2.35 42.6%	2.50 40.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.25 44.4%
X	2.75 36.4%	2.65 37.7%	2.90 34.5%	2.70 37.0%	2.80 35.7%	2.55 39.2%
	3.10 32.3%	3.33 30.0%	2.90 34.5%	3.15 31.8%	3.00 33.3%	2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.25 80.0%	1.53 65.4%
yes	3.35 29.9%	2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.09 91.7%
1x	1.29 77.5%	1.30 76.9%	1.02 98.0%
x2	1.43 69.9%	1.45 69.0%	5.90 17.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.35 29.9%
X	1.76 56.8%
	4.11 24.3%

Match center

Sportivo Italiano

13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Sportivo Italiano 0:1 Ekskursionistas

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

0 Points

Real Pilar

W L

14.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Real Pilar 1:0 Liniers

05.06 19:00 UTC Argentina: Primera B Standings

Real Pilar 0:2 Itusaingo

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.5 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySportivo Italiano - Real Pilar

Sportivo Italiano

0 matches total

Real Pilar

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar

AI match prediction Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar July 5, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Team stats

Team freshness

Totals and BTTS trends

Buy the full AI analysis

Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Match history