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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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Costa Rica. 2nd Division
AD Rosario - Arkhentino de Rosario
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Not started
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Arkhentino de Rosario — 35%
Pure model vs market (2 · Arkhentino de Rosario): model 32% · market 36% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win AD Rosario 31.6%, draw 33.0%, win Arkhentino de Rosario 35.4%. Model favourite — Arkhentino de Rosario.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Xdraw (odds2.74)
Score 1:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.74)
- • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AD Rosario - Arkhentino de Rosario July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arkhentino de Rosario.
Line favourite market consensus: Arkhentino de Rosario. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.85 / X 2.73 / 2 2.51
- 1X2 market: AD Rosario 31.4% / X 32.9% / Arkhentino de Rosario 35.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.6%
1
31.5%
X
32.8%
2
35.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
AD Rosario
1
:
1
Arkhentino de Rosario
12.05
X3.09
23.88
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Arkhentino de Rosario 35%
💹 Market
Arkhentino de Rosario 3568%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
AD Rosario - Arkhentino de Rosario
Form
3/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
AD Rosario
31.1%
31.6%
Draw
33.4%
33.0%
draw risk
Arkhentino de Rosario
35.6%
35.4%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
31.6% / 33.0% / 35.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,371 / 1,398
AD Rosario / Arkhentino de Rosario
RD
197 / 193
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
977-1,764 / 1,012-1,785
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.51
market consensus · no value · model 35.4%
X
2.73
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.89
market consensus · no value · model 31.6%
Double chance
12
1.36
market consensus · no value · model 67.0%
1X
1.48
market consensus · no value · model 64.6%
X2
1.26
market consensus · no value · model 68.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.56
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.61
market consensus · line only
1 +0.5
1.45
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.19
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.91
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.34
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.44
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.88 34.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.63 38.0% | |
| X | 2.75 36.4% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.50 40.0% |
| 2.55 39.2% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.38 42.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.44 69.4% |
| yes | 2.61 38.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 1.37 73.0% | 1.58 63.3% |
| x2 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.24 80.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 0_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 0_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 3_1 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 3_2 | 46.00 2.2% |
Match center
AD Rosario
L
D
D
AD Rosario
0:1
Estrella Del Sur
Estrella Del Sur
AD Rosario
0:0
Viktoriano Arenas
Viktoriano Arenas
AD Rosario
0:0
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
0
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.3
Conceded
2
Points
Arkhentino de Rosario
D
D
L
D
Arkhentino de Rosario
0:0
Puerto-Nuevo
Puerto-Nuevo
Arkhentino de Rosario
1:1
Yupanki
Yupanki
Arkhentino de Rosario
0:2
Leandro N. Alem
Leandro N. Alem
Arkhentino de Rosario
1:1
Def. de Kambaseres
Def. de Kambaseres
0
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAD Rosario - Arkhentino de Rosario
AD Rosario
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form