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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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Argentina: Primera C Standings
Atlas - Sacachispas
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:
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Sacachispas — 34%
Pure model vs market (2 · Sacachispas): model 31% · market 34% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atlas 33.2%, draw 32.9%, win Sacachispas 33.9%. Model favourite — Sacachispas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Xdraw (odds2.75)
Score 1:1 (odds5.44)
confidence 50%
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.75)
- • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1 (odds 5.44).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atlas - Sacachispas July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sacachispas.
Line favourite market consensus: Sacachispas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.73 / X 2.74 / 2 2.66
- 1X2 market: Atlas 33.1% / X 32.9% / Sacachispas 34.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.7%
1
33.1%
X
33.0%
2
34.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera CLeague table
Atlas
WWWWD
Sacachispas
WWLWD
Best price
across 6 books
1
2.90
Dafabet
X
2.85
10Bet
2
2.75
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atlas
W-D-L 5-2-3
Scored 1.20
Conceded 0.90
xG 0.91
xGA 1.04
Sacachispas
W-D-L 5-3-2
Scored 0.90
Conceded 0.30
xG 1.07
xGA 0.84
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Atlas
Rating 1490
xG 1.06
Win 34%
Sacachispas
Rating 1549
xG 1.12
Win 37%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Atlas
1
:
1
Sacachispas
12.75
X2.85
22.75
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Sacachispas 34%
💹 Market
Sacachispas 3402%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Atlas - Sacachispas
Form
5/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Atlas
32.7%
33.2%
Draw
33.3%
32.9%
draw risk
Sacachispas
34.1%
33.9%
market and model agree
xG
-
1.06 : 1.12
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
33.2% / 32.9% / 33.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,632 / 1,613
Atlas / Sacachispas
RD
138 / 184
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,357-1,908 / 1,245-1,981
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.67
market consensus · no value · model 33.9%
X
2.75
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.73
market consensus · no value · model 33.2%
Double chance
12
1.34
market consensus · no value · model 67.1%
1X
1.36
market consensus · no value · model 66.1%
X2
1.36
market consensus · no value · model 66.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.71
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.84
market consensus · line only
1 +0.5
1.41
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.84
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.90
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.36
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.48
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.47
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.90 34.5% | |
| X | 2.85 35.1% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.80 35.7% |
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.70 37.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 2.47 40.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.37 73.0% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
| x2 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 0_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_1 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 3_2 | 41.00 2.4% |
Match center
Atlas
D
L
W
W
W
Atlas
1:1
Deportivo Munis
Deportivo Munis
Atlas
0:1
Deportivo Espanol
Deportivo Espanol
Atlas
1:0
Sentral Kordoba
Sentral Kordoba
Atlas
2:1
Klaypole
Klaypole
Atlas
2:0
Sentral Ballester
Sentral Ballester
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
Sacachispas
D
W
W
W
Sacachispas
1:1
Leandro N. Alem
Leandro N. Alem
Sacachispas
2:0
Def. de Kambaseres
Def. de Kambaseres
Sacachispas
1:0
Khuventud Unida S.-M.
Khuventud Unida S.-M.
Sacachispas
1:0
Berasategi
Berasategi
3
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.3
Scored
0.3
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtlas - Sacachispas
Atlas
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form