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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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Argentina: Primera C Standings
Centro Espanol - Leones de Rosario
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Centro Espanol — 35%
Pure model vs market (1 · Centro Espanol): model 43% · market 34% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Centro Espanol 35.4%, draw 33.9%, win Leones de Rosario 30.7%. Model favourite — Centro Espanol.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Xdraw (odds2.76)
Score 1:1 (odds5.21)
confidence 50%
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.76)
- • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1 (odds 5.21).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Centro Espanol - Leones de Rosario July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Centro Espanol.
Line favourite market consensus: Centro Espanol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.64 / X 2.78 / 2 2.67
- 1X2 market: Centro Espanol 34.0% / X 32.4% / Leones de Rosario 33.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.3%
1
34.0%
X
32.3%
2
33.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera CLeague table
Centro Espanol
DLWWW
Leones de Rosario
DLDWW
Best price
across 7 books
1
2.75
1xBet
X
2.88
10Bet
2
2.80
Dafabet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Centro Espanol
W-D-L 5-3-2
Scored 1.50
Conceded 1.00
xG 1.17
xGA 0.85
Leones de Rosario
W-D-L 3-4-3
Scored 1.00
Conceded 1.00
xG 1.16
xGA 0.84
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Centro Espanol
Rating 1527
xG 1.15
Win 36%
Leones de Rosario
Rating 1517
xG 1.13
Win 35%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Centro Espanol
4
:
1
Leones de Rosario
12.75
X2.85
22.75
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Centro Espanol 35%
💹 Market
Centro Espanol 3402%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Centro Espanol - Leones de Rosario
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Centro Espanol
34.9%
35.4%
market and model agree
Draw
34.3%
33.9%
draw risk
Leones de Rosario
30.8%
30.7%
xG
-
1.15 : 1.13
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
35.4% / 33.9% / 30.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,344 / 1,281
Centro Espanol / Leones de Rosario
RD
203 / 203
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
939-1,749 / 874-1,687
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.75
market consensus · no value · model 30.7%
X
2.76
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.63
market consensus · no value · model 35.4%
Double chance
12
1.38
market consensus · no value · model 66.1%
1X
1.31
market consensus · no value · model 69.3%
X2
1.39
market consensus · no value · model 64.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5
1.51
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.97
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
2.40
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.73
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.70
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.41
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.40
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.74
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.65 37.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.45 40.8% | |
| X | 2.88 34.7% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.55 39.2% |
| 2.65 37.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.50 40.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% |
| yes | 2.74 36.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.41 70.9% |
| 1x | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 0_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 0_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_1 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 3_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
Match center
Centro Espanol
L
D
L
W
Centro Espanol
0:1
Lugano
Lugano
Centro Espanol
0:0
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
Centro Espanol
0:3
Mersedes
Mersedes
Centro Espanol
1:0
Puerto-Nuevo
Puerto-Nuevo
1
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.3
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Leones de Rosario
L
D
L
W
Leones de Rosario
0:2
Sentral Kordoba
Sentral Kordoba
Leones de Rosario
1:1
Klaypole
Klaypole
Leones de Rosario
0:1
Sentral Ballester
Sentral Ballester
Leones de Rosario
2:0
Sportivo Barrakas
Sportivo Barrakas
1
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCentro Espanol - Leones de Rosario
Centro Espanol
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Centro Espanol - Leones de Rosario breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form