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Argentina: Primera C Standings
Argentina: Primera C Standings
30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Primera C Standings

Chaco Petrolero - Leones de Rosario

Football
Chaco Petrolero
Chaco Petrolero
- : -
Not started
Leones de Rosario
Leones de Rosario
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chaco Petrolero49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chaco Petrolero): model 55% · market 60% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Chaco Petrolero49.4%
X · draw21.6%
2 · Leones de Rosario29.0%

Model estimate: win Chaco Petrolero 49.4%, draw 21.6%, win Leones de Rosario 29.0%. Model favourite — Chaco Petrolero.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chaco Petrolero (odds1.51) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Deportivo Espanol: probability 50% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chaco Petrolero - Leones de Rosario July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Chaco Petrolero. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 3.46 / 2 6.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 60.2%
X 26.3%
2 13.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Chaco Petrolero 1 : 1 Leones de Rosario
12.05
X3.09
23.88

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Chaco Petrolero - Leones de Rosario

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chaco Petrolero 60.2% 49.4% market and model agree
Draw 26.3% 21.6% draw risk
Leones de Rosario 13.6% 29.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.4% / 21.6% / 29.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,687 / 1,281 Chaco Petrolero / Leones de Rosario
RD 164 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,359-2,014 / 874-1,687 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.70 market consensus · no value · model 29.0%
X 3.46 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 49.4%
Handicap
2 +1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.49 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.49 67.1%
yes 2.44 41.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.13 47.0%
X 1.95 51.3%
7.80 12.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.29 43.7%
Under 1 1.56 64.1%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.95 51.3%
1.75 57.1%
Match center
Chaco Petrolero
W W L D W
25.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Chaco Petrolero 1:0 AtlasAtlas
17.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Chaco Petrolero 1:0 Viktoriano ArenasViktoriano Arenas
11.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Chaco Petrolero 0:1 KanuelasKanuelas
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Chaco Petrolero 1:1 Deportivo MunisDeportivo Munis
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Chaco Petrolero 1:0 Sentral KordobaSentral Kordoba
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Leones de Rosario
L D L W
25.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Leones de Rosario 0:2 Sentral KordobaSentral Kordoba
13.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Leones de Rosario 1:1 KlaypoleKlaypole
04.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Leones de Rosario 0:1 Sentral BallesterSentral Ballester
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Leones de Rosario 2:0 Sportivo BarrakasSportivo Barrakas
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points