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Paraguay. Reserve League
Paraguay. Reserve League
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Paraguay. Reserve League

Claypole - Juventud Unida

Football
Claypole
Claypole
- : -
Not started
Juventud Unida
Juventud Unida

Claypole take on Juventud Unida on August 4, 2026 in the Paraguay. Reserve League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Claypole 0-2-3, Juventud Unida 2-2-1. The bookmaker line makes Claypole the favourite at about 34%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Claypole34%

Pure model vs market (1 · Claypole): model 35% · market 34% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Claypole34.4%
X · draw32.8%
2 · Juventud Unida32.8%

Model estimate: win Claypole 34.4%, draw 32.8%, win Juventud Unida 32.8%. Model favourite — Claypole.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Claypole (odds2.46) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • (football)
  • Model backs Klaypole: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.46)
  • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Claypole - Juventud Unida August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Claypole.

Line favourite market consensus: Claypole. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 2.80 / 2 2.85
  • 1X2 market: Claypole 34.4% / X 33.1% / Juventud Unida 32.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9% 4 books · best price +1.9%
1 34.4%
X 33.1%
2 32.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (1xBet, Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera C
League table
Claypole
#2422 ptsGP 215-7-916:26
Juventud Unida
#1925 ptsGP 206-7-721:20
Best price across 1 books
1 2.70 1xBet
X 2.80 1xBet
2 2.85 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Claypole
W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.90 xG 0.92 xGA 1.02
Juventud Unida
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.40 Conceded 0.80 xG 0.86 xGA 1.11

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Claypole
Rating 1451
Juventud Unida
Rating 1482

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Claypole 1 : 1 Juventud Unida
12.58
X2.74
22.77

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 34.3% @ 2.70 / X 33.1% @ 2.80 / 2 32.5% @ 2.85
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Claypole 34%
💹 Market Claypole 3435%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Claypole - Juventud Unida

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Claypole 34.4% 34.4% market and model agree
Draw 33.1% 32.8% draw risk
Juventud Unida 32.5% 32.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.4% / 32.8% / 32.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,354 / 1,513 Claypole / Juventud Unida San Miguel
RD 150 / 156 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,054-1,654 / 1,200-1,826 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.86 market consensus · no value · model 32.8%
X 2.79 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.65 market consensus · no value · model 34.4%
Double chance
12 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 67.2%
1X 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 67.2%
X2 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 65.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.89 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.48 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet
2.70 37.0%
X 2.80 35.7%
2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.47 40.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.32 75.8% 1.38 72.5%
1x 1.31 76.3% 1.37 73.0%
x2 1.35 74.1% 1.41 70.9%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 5.20 19.2%
0_1 5.50 18.2%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 11.50 8.7%
0_3 30.00 3.3%
0_4 100.00 1.0%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 5.30 18.9%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 31.00 3.2%
1_4 100.00 1.0%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Claypole
L D D L L
31.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Claypole 1:3 Klub LukhanKlub Lukhan
26.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Claypole 0:0 Kheneral LamadridKheneral Lamadrid
13.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Claypole 1:1 Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Claypole 1:2 AtlasAtlas
30.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Claypole 0:2 KanuelasKanuelas
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Juventud Unida
D W D L W
31.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Juventud Unida 0:0 Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem
26.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Juventud Unida 3:1 Def. de KambaseresDef. de Kambaseres
12.07 15:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Juventud Unida 0:0 LuganoLugano
05.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Juventud Unida 0:1 SakachispasSakachispas
14.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Juventud Unida 2:0 Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyClaypole - Juventud Unida

Claypole
0 matches total
Juventud Unida
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history