football.main.1x2: draw
Value Bet365 DRAW @ 3.80 (EV +5%, Pinnacle fair 28%)
WC 2026. Final
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Saprissa.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Fonbet · historical ROI
Value Bet365 DRAW @ 3.80 (EV +5%, Pinnacle fair 28%)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.48 28.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.13 32.0% |
| 6.40 15.6% | 6.59 15.2% | 4.10 24.4% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.25 19.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.80 35.7% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 5.30 18.9% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 6.40 15.6% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 5.90 17.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 12.00 8.3% |
Deportivo Saprissa
Sakachispas
Khuventud Unida S.-M.
Viktoriano Arenas
Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Saprissa - Khuventud Unida S.-M.
The Deportivo Saprissa - Khuventud Unida S.-M. breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.