Paraguay. Reserve League
Centro EspaG±ol - Leones de Rosario
Centro EspaG±ol take on Leones de Rosario on August 5, 2026 in the Paraguay. Reserve League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Centro EspaG±ol 1-3, Leones de Rosario 1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Centro EspaG±ol, an implied 41% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Centro EspaG±ol — 41%
Pure model vs market (1 · Centro EspaG±ol):model 41% · market 41% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Centro EspaG±ol 40.8%, draw 32.2%, win Leones de Rosario 27.0%. Model favourite — Centro EspaG±ol.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.76)
- • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1 (odds 5.21).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Centro EspaG±ol - Leones de Rosario August 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Centro EspaG±ol.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 2.81 / 2 3.28
- 1X2 market: Centro EspaG±ol 40.6% / X 32.0% / Leones de Rosario 27.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera CHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Centro EspaG±ol - Leones de Rosario
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 2.88 34.7% | 2.83 35.3% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.55 39.2% |
| 3.45 29.0% | 3.28 30.5% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 2.47 40.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.37 73.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| x2 | 1.42 70.4% | 1.49 67.1% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 3_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
Centro EspaG±ol
Viktoriano Arenas
Lugano
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
Mersedes
Puerto-Nuevo
Leones de Rosario
Deportivo Espanol
Sentral Kordoba
Klaypole
Sentral Ballester
Sportivo Barrakas
Full head-to-head historyCentro EspaG±ol - Leones de Rosario
Match history
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The Centro EspaG±ol - Leones de Rosario breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form