Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
WC 2026. Final
Espanyol - Mersedes
0
:
3
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Espanyol — 51%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Espanyol - Mersedes July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Mersedes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / X 4.50 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 75.3%
1
30.8%
X
12.7%
2
56.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Espanyol
No recent matches
Mersedes
Well rested- Rest days: 8
- Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
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Match center
Espanyol - Mersedes
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X
4.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.78
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.16
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.11
market consensus · line only
X2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5
1.93
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.02
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.24
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
3.75
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.23
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.23 81.3% | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 3.60 27.8% | 2.47 40.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.13 88.5% | 11.50 8.7% |
| x2 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.01 99.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.51 39.8% | |
| Draw | 1.92 52.1% |
| 5.50 18.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.54 64.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 3.67 27.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.22 45.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.21 82.6% |
Match center
Espanyol
W
Espanyol
1:0
Puerto-Nuevo
Puerto-Nuevo
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Mersedes
L
Mersedes
0:1
Lugano
Lugano
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Mersedes
Espanyol
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals