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Argentina: Primera C Standings
Argentina: Primera C Standings
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Argentina: Primera C Standings

Justo Jose Urquiza - Berazategui

Football
Justo Jose Urquiza
Justo Jose Urquiza
- : -
Not started
Berazategui
Berazategui
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Justo Jose Urquiza50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Justo Jose Urquiza): model 51% · market 25% Δ +26 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Justo Jose Urquiza50.3%
X · draw22.0%
2 · Berazategui27.7%

Model estimate: win Justo Jose Urquiza 50.3%, draw 22.0%, win Berazategui 27.7%. Model favourite — Justo Jose Urquiza.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Justo Jose Urquiza (odds3.70) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Khusto Khose de Urkisa: probability 50% vs 27% on the line (odds 3.70)
  • edge over the line +23 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Justo Jose Urquiza - Berazategui July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Berazategui. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.70 / X 2.80 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 25.0%
X 33.0%
2 42.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Justo Jose Urquiza - Berazategui

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Justo Jose Urquiza 25.0% 50.3% Glicko contrarian
Draw 33.0% 22.0% draw risk
Berazategui 42.0% 27.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.3% / 22.0% / 27.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,591 / 1,317 Justo Jose Urquiza / Berazategui
RD 174 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,243-1,939 / 935-1,699 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 27.7%
X 2.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.70 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 50.3%
Double chance
12 1.38 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 78.0%
1X 1.60 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 72.3%
X2 1.23 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 49.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.48 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.38 72.5%
1x 1.60 62.5%
x2 1.23 81.3%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
2.46 40.7%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Under 1.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
3.70 27.0%
X 2.80 35.7%
2.20 45.5%
Match center
Justo Jose Urquiza
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Justo Jose Urquiza 0:0 EspanolEspanol
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Justo Jose Urquiza 0:0 LuganoLugano
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Justo Jose Urquiza 0:0 Deportivo ParagvayoDeportivo Paragvayo
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.0 Conceded
7 Points
Berazategui
L L W L
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Berazategui 0:1 MersedesMersedes
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Berazategui 2:1 Khuventud Unida S.-M.Khuventud Unida S.-M.
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Berazategui 0:1 SakachispasSakachispas
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points