WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
12.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Leandro N. Alem - De Paúl R

Futbol
Leandro N. Alem
Leandro N. Alem
2 : 0
Finished
De Paúl R
De Paúl R

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leandro N. Alem - De Paúl R July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like De Paúl R.

Line favourite market consensus: De Paúl R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.84 / X 2.72 / 2 2.53
  • 1X2 market: Leandro N. Alem 31.6% / X 33.0% / De Paúl R 35.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 31.6%
X 33.0%
2 35.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera C
League table
Leandro N. Alem
#923 ptsGP 186-5-722:32
LDDLW
De Paúl R
#1216 ptsGP 182-10-618:23
DLLWD
Best price across 11 books
1 2.70 10Bet
X 2.90 Unibet
2 2.91 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Leandro N. Alem
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.39 Conceded 1.40 xG 0.96 xGA 1.11
De Paúl R
W-D-L 1-6-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.40 xG 0.94 xGA 1.04

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Leandro N. Alem
Rating 1432
De Paúl R
Rating 1400

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Leandro N. Alem 1 : 1 De Paúl R
12.57
X2.80
22.75

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Leandro N. Alem - De Paúl R

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.54 market consensus · line only
X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.72 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.88 34.7% 2.82 35.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.63 38.0%
X 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.60 38.5%
2.60 38.5% 2.49 40.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.48 67.6% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.45 40.8% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.41 70.9% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 11.50 8.7%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.50 18.2%
0_1 5.25 19.1%
0_2 10.00 10.0%
0_3 23.00 4.4%
0_4 67.00 1.5%
1_0 5.75 17.4%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 61.00 1.6%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 91.00 1.1%
3_0 29.00 3.5%
3_1 23.00 4.4%
3_2 41.00 2.4%
Match center
Leandro N. Alem
L D W
04.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Leandro N. Alem 0:3 Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Leandro N. Alem 0:0 Viktoriano ArenasViktoriano Arenas
31.05 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Leandro N. Alem 2:0 Khusto Khose de UrkisaKhusto Khose de Urkisa
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
De Paúl R
D
04.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
De Paúl R 1:1 Def. de KambaseresDef. de Kambaseres
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points