Argentina: Primera C Standings
Leandro Niceforo Alem - Juventud Unida San Miguel
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Leandro Niceforo Alem — 34%
Pure model vs market (1 · Leandro Niceforo Alem): model 41% · market 34% Δ +7 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Leandro Niceforo Alem 34.2%, draw 32.3%, win Juventud Unida San Miguel 33.6%. Model favourite — Leandro Niceforo Alem.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Leandro N
- • Alem — Khuventud Unida S.-M
- • (football)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 35% on the line (odds 2.82)
- • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leandro Niceforo Alem - Juventud Unida San Miguel July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 2.85 / 2 2.79
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Leandro Niceforo Alem - Juventud Unida San Miguel
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 2.47 40.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.37 73.0% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
| x2 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.64 27.5% | |
| X | 1.82 55.0% |
| 3.64 27.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.08 48.1% |
Leandro Niceforo Alem
Sakachispas
Kanuelas
Arkhentino de Rosario
Estrella Del Sur
Viktoriano Arenas
Juventud Unida San Miguel
Def. de Kambaseres
Lugano
Sakachispas
Estrella Del Sur
Berasategi
Full head-to-head historyLeandro Niceforo Alem - Juventud Unida San Miguel
Match history
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The Leandro Niceforo Alem - Juventud Unida San Miguel breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form