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WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
04.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Lugano - Khusto Khose de Urkisa

Futbol
Lugano
Lugano
0 : 0
Finished
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

2Khusto Khose de Urkisa — odds 5.20 · edge +3.5% · 2 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lugano - Khusto Khose de Urkisa July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lugano.

Line favourite market consensus: Lugano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 2.94 / 2 4.75
  • 1X2 market: Lugano 50.5% / X 30.5% / Khusto Khose de Urkisa 19.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 50.5%
X 30.6%
2 18.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Primera C - Zone A

Team stats

Lugano
DDLWDLDLWW
W 3 • D 4 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 1.1
6 place, 24 pts
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
DDDWLLLLDL
W 1 • D 4 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.2 : 1.1
14 place, 14 pts
Head-to-head: 5 — Lugano 1, draws 2, Khusto Khose de Urkisa 2 (goals 8:9)
  • Justo José Urquiza — CA Lugano2026-02-28 0:2
  • CA Lugano — Justo José Urquiza2025-09-16 2:2
  • Justo José Urquiza — CA Lugano2025-06-01 3:1
  • CA Lugano — Justo José Urquiza2024-09-03 2:2
  • Justo José Urquiza — CA Lugano2024-03-31 2:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Lugano
Well rested
  • Rest days: 7
  • Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Lugano - Khusto Khose de Urkisa

Form 0/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.78 market consensus · line only
X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.53 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6%
X 3.00 33.3% 2.98 33.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4%
4.80 20.8% 4.92 20.3% 5.50 18.2% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.01 99.0%
yes 12.00 8.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 5.30 18.9%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.04 96.2%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.01 99.0%
2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% —
— — 11.00 9.1%
1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1% 1.57 63.7%
1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% —
— — 12.00 8.3%
— — 1.01 99.0%
2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.25 44.4%
Match center
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
D L
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Khusto Khose de Urkisa 0:0 Deportivo ParagvayoDeportivo Paragvayo
31.05 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Khusto Khose de Urkisa 0:2 Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points