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WC 2026. Final
WC 2026. Final
14.06.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. Final

Lugano - Mercedes

Football
Lugano
Lugano
1 : 0
Finished
Mercedes
Mercedes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lugano - Mercedes June 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lugano.

Line favourite market consensus: Lugano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 2.81 / 2 3.39
  • 1X2 market: Lugano 41.5% / X 32.0% / Mercedes 26.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 41.6%
X 32.0%
2 26.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Lugano - Mercedes

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.44 market consensus · line only
X 6.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0%
X 2.88 34.7% 2.78 36.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.82 35.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.63 38.0%
3.40 29.4% 3.43 29.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.20 83.3%
yes 3.90 25.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 9.00 11.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
10.50 9.5%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
9.50 10.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLugano - Mercedes

Lugano
0 matches total
Mercedes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history