Match center
Start
12.07.2026 16:00 UTC
12.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
WC 2026. Final
Puerto Nuevo - Estrella Del Sur
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Puerto Nuevo - Estrella Del Sur July 12, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Estrella Del Sur.
Line favourite market consensus: Estrella Del Sur. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.11 / X 2.85 / 2 1.93
- 1X2 market: Puerto Nuevo 21.9% / X 31.5% / Estrella Del Sur 46.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.2%
1
21.9%
X
31.5%
2
46.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera CLeague table
Puerto Nuevo
WWLWD
Estrella Del Sur
WWLDD
Best price
across 11 books
1
4.75
Bet365
X
3.02
Marathonbet
2
1.96
Unibet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Puerto Nuevo
W-D-L 4-3-3
Scored 0.81
Conceded 1.10
xG 0.89
xGA 1.21
Estrella Del Sur
W-D-L 4-4-2
Scored 1.11
Conceded 0.80
xG 1.09
xGA 0.87
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Puerto Nuevo
Rating 1460
Estrella Del Sur
Rating 1497
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Puerto Nuevo
0
:
0
Estrella Del Sur
14.15
X2.93
21.92
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Puerto Nuevo - Estrella Del Sur
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.93
market consensus · line only
X
6.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.09
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
7.70
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.36
market consensus · line only
1 +0.5
1.88
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.70
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.27
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.30
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.10 24.4% | 4.08 24.5% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.80 26.3% | |
| X | 3.00 33.3% | 2.93 34.1% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.82 35.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.63 38.0% |
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.80 55.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.27 78.7% | 1.44 69.4% |
| yes | 3.30 30.3% | 2.61 38.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.59 62.9% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 7.70 13.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 4.20 23.8% |
| 0_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 51.00 2.0% |
Match center
Puerto Nuevo
W
L
Puerto Nuevo
2:0
Berasategi
Berasategi
Puerto Nuevo
0:1
Espanol
Espanol
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
3
Points
Estrella Del Sur
W
L
Estrella Del Sur
3:0
Leandro N. Alem
Leandro N. Alem
Estrella Del Sur
0:2
Khuventud Unida S.-M.
Khuventud Unida S.-M.
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPuerto Nuevo - Estrella Del Sur
Puerto Nuevo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals