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Kazakhstan. League 2
Kazakhstan. League 2
28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Kazakhstan. League 2

Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir U20

Football
Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas
- : -
Not started
El Porvenir U20
El Porvenir U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sportivo Barracas — 36%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sportivo Barracas): model 44% · market 35% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Sportivo Barracas35.6%
X · draw33.7%
2 · El Porvenir U2030.7%

Model estimate: win Sportivo Barracas 35.6%, draw 33.7%, win El Porvenir U20 30.7%. Model favourite — Sportivo Barracas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sportivo Barracas (odds1.74) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • liniya na pik P1 3.25→34.00 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Sportivo Barrakas: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.74)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir U20 July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sportivo Barracas.

Line favourite market consensus: Sportivo Barracas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 2.63 / 2 2.89
  • 1X2 market: Sportivo Barracas 34.8% / X 34.2% / El Porvenir U20 31.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 34.8%
X 34.1%
2 31.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 3.25 ↑ 39.00
1X2 X 3.40 ↑ 4.60
1X2 P2 2.05 ↓ 1.02

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sportivo Barracas 0 : 0 El Porvenir U20
12.70
X2.50
22.90

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated27.07.2026 17:43 UTC
1 32%
X 37% ✓ favourite
2 31%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-2-2
Claude updated27.07.2026 17:55 UTC
1 37% ✓ favourite
X 35%
2 28%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5 golov
Per AI data H2H: 2-2
Qwen updated27.07.2026 17:52 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 32% 37% 31% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 37% 35% 28% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5 golov
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Sportivo Barracas 49%
📐 Math model Sportivo Barracas 36%
💹 Market Sportivo Barracas 3477%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir U20

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sportivo Barracas 35.0% 35.6% market and model agree
Draw 34.1% 33.7% draw risk
El Porvenir U20 30.8% 30.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 35.6% / 33.7% / 30.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,449 / 1,383 Sportivo Barracas / El Porvenir U20
RD 173 / 198 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,103-1,796 / 987-1,778 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 market consensus · no value · model 30.7%
X 2.63 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.59 market consensus · no value · model 35.6%
Double chance
12 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 66.3%
1X 1.30 market consensus · no value · model 69.3%
X2 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 64.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.44 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.60 38.5% 2.53 39.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.38 42.0%
X 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.45 40.8%
2.90 34.5% 2.98 33.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.44 69.4%
yes 2.61 38.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.31 76.3% 1.44 69.4%
1x 1.33 75.2% 1.27 78.7%
x2 1.33 75.2% 1.47 68.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.00 20.0%
0_1 5.00 20.0%
0_2 10.00 10.0%
0_3 31.00 3.2%
0_4 91.00 1.1%
1_0 4.75 21.1%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 29.00 3.5%
1_4 81.00 1.2%
2_0 9.50 10.5%
2_1 9.50 10.5%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 51.00 2.0%
2_4 101.00 1.0%
3_0 26.00 3.9%
3_1 26.00 3.9%
3_2 46.00 2.2%
Match center
Sportivo Barracas
L L L W L
17.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Sportivo Barracas 2:3 LuganoLugano
13.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Sportivo Barracas 1:2 FeniksFeniks
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Sportivo Barracas 2:3 YupankiYupanki
29.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Sportivo Barracas 2:0 Klub LukhanKlub Lukhan
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Sportivo Barracas 0:2 Leones de RosarioLeones de Rosario
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
El Porvenir U20
L D D L
18.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir U20 0:2 MersedesMersedes
11.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir U20 0:0 Klub LukhanKlub Lukhan
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir U20 1:1 Kheneral LamadridKheneral Lamadrid
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir U20 0:1 AtlasAtlas
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points