Guatemala. Primera Division
El Porvenir face Fénix on August 1, 2026 in the Guatemala. Primera Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): El Porvenir 0-2-3, Fénix 3-1-1. The market favourite is El Porvenir at roughly 41%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 El Porvenir — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · El Porvenir): model 30% · market 41% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win El Porvenir 40.2%, draw 34.0%, win Fénix 25.8%. Model favourite — El Porvenir.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like El Porvenir.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 2.70 37.0% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.45 40.8% |
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.88 25.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.25 30.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.44 69.4% |
| yes | 2.61 38.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.45 69.0% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 1.48 67.6% | 1.56 64.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 0_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 4.33 23.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 3_0 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 3_1 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 3_2 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 3_3 | 101.00 1.0% |
El Porvenir
Sportivo Barrakas
Mersedes
Klub Lukhan
Kheneral Lamadrid
Atlas
Fénix
Yupanki
Puerto-Nuevo
Sportivo Barrakas
Klub Lukhan
Kheneral Lamadrid
Full head-to-head historyEl Porvenir - Fénix
The El Porvenir - Fénix breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
