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Guatemala. Primera Division
Guatemala. Primera Division
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Guatemala. Primera Division

Yupanqui - Canuelas

Football
Yupanqui
Yupanqui
- : -
Not started
Canuelas
Canuelas

Yupanqui meet Canuelas on August 2, 2026 in the Guatemala. Primera Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Yupanqui 2-2-1, Canuelas 3-1-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Canuelas53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Canuelas): model 38% · market 43% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Yupanqui25.3%
X · draw21.7%
2 · Canuelas53.0%

Model estimate: win Yupanqui 25.3%, draw 21.7%, win Canuelas 53.0%. Model favourite — Canuelas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Canuelas (odds2.18) Score 1:2 confidence 53%
  • Model backs Kanuelas: probability 53% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.18)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yupanqui - Canuelas August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Canuelas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.63 / X 2.90 / 2 2.18

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 25.5%
X 32.0%
2 42.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera C
League table
Yupanqui
#1329 ptsGP 217-8-625:22
Canuelas
#236 ptsGP 219-9-323:13
Best price across 8 books
1 3.60 Dafabet
X 3.00 Betfair
2 2.18 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Yupanqui
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.40 xG 0.90 xGA 1.11
Canuelas
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.19 Conceded 0.40 xG 1.12 xGA 0.81

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Yupanqui
Rating 1491 xG 0.93 Win 28%
Canuelas
Rating 1565 xG 1.26 Win 44%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 25.5% @ 3.63 / X 32.0% @ 2.90 / 2 42.5% @ 2.18
Match center

Yupanqui - Canuelas

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Yupanqui 25.5% 25.3%
Draw 32.0% 21.7% draw risk
Canuelas 42.5% 53.0% market and model agree
xG - 0.93 : 1.26

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.3% / 21.7% / 53.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,512 / 1,688 Yupanqui / Canuelas
RD 176 / 177 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,160-1,865 / 1,334-2,042 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.18 market consensus · value +15.5% · model 53.0%
X 2.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.63 market consensus · no value · model 25.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.48 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.47 40.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.56 21.9%
X 1.86 53.8%
2.92 34.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 1.5 1.18 84.8%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.65 60.6%
2.11 47.4%
Match center
Yupanqui
D D L W W
27.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Yupanqui 1:1 FeniksFeniks
17.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Yupanqui 1:1 Arkhentino de RosarioArkhentino de Rosario
11.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Yupanqui 0:1 Deportivo MunisDeportivo Munis
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Yupanqui 3:2 Sportivo BarrakasSportivo Barrakas
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Yupanqui 2:1 Sentral KordobaSentral Kordoba
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Canuelas
L W W D W
25.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Canuelas 0:1 Deportivo MunisDeportivo Munis
18.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Canuelas 1:0 Leandro N. AlemLeandro N. Alem
11.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Canuelas 1:0 Deportivo EspanolDeportivo Espanol
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Canuelas 0:0 Sentral KordobaSentral Kordoba
30.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Canuelas 2:0 KlaypoleKlaypole
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyYupanqui - Canuelas

Yupanqui
0 matches total
Canuelas
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history