Guatemala. Primera Division
Yupanqui - Canuelas
Yupanqui meet Canuelas on August 2, 2026 in the Guatemala. Primera Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Yupanqui 2-2-1, Canuelas 3-1-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Canuelas — 53%
Pure model vs market (2 · Canuelas): model 38% · market 43% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Yupanqui 25.3%, draw 21.7%, win Canuelas 53.0%. Model favourite — Canuelas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Kanuelas: probability 53% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.18)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Yupanqui - Canuelas August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.63 / X 2.90 / 2 2.18
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera CHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Yupanqui - Canuelas
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 2.47 40.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.56 21.9% | |
| X | 1.86 53.8% |
| 2.92 34.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 3.95 25.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 2.11 47.4% |
Yupanqui
Feniks
Arkhentino de Rosario
Deportivo Munis
Sportivo Barrakas
Sentral Kordoba
Canuelas
Deportivo Munis
Leandro N. Alem
Deportivo Espanol
Sentral Kordoba
Klaypole
Full head-to-head historyYupanqui - Canuelas
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Yupanqui - Canuelas breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form