PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Atletico San Miguel - Ferro

Futbol
Atletico San Miguel
Atletico San Miguel
0 : 1
Finished
Ferro
Ferro

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico San Miguel - Ferro 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ferro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / X 1.47 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 72.7%
1 3.9%
X 39.4%
2 56.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Atletico San Miguel
#1025 ptsGP 195-10-417:20
DWDDD
Ferro
#137 ptsGP 1911-4-422:14
WWWWD
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletico San Miguel
W-D-L 2-6-2 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.20 xG 0.86 xGA 0.93
Ferro
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 1.50 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.26 xGA 0.71

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletico San Miguel
Rating 1503
Ferro
Rating 1580

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atletico San Miguel 0 : 0 Ferro
13.15
X2.56
22.55

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 16:59 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
X 29%
2 6%
Score1:1 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 Bet:1
Claude updated11.07.2026 17:01 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
X 29%
2 6%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 65% 29% 6% 1:1 ТМ 2.5 — 1
Claude 65% 29% 6% — — — 1

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Atletico San Miguel - Ferro

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 2.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1X 8.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 0 4.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.75 26.7% 1.51 66.2%
yes 1.20 83.3% 2.51 39.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 2.50 40.0%
1x 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5% 8.50 11.8%
x2 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.90 25.6%
Х 1.79 55.9%
П2 3.77 26.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 0.5 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 0.5 2.07 48.3%
Match center
Atletico San Miguel
D D D
05.07 17:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Atletico San Miguel 1:1 Centralal NorteCentralal Norte
14.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Atletico San Miguel 2:2 Deportivo MadrinDeportivo Madrin
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Atletico San Miguel 1:1 Syudad BolivarSyudad Bolivar
0 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Ferro
W W W
05.07 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Ferro 2:1 San-TelmoSan-Telmo
14.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Ferro 2:1 AkasusoAkasuso
07.06 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Ferro 2:1 Chako For EverChako For Ever
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points