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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
07.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Agropecuario - Patronato Parana

Football
Agropecuario
Agropecuario
1 : 1
Finished
Patronato Parana
Patronato Parana

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Agropecuario - Patronato Parana June 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Agropecuario.

Line favourite market consensus: Agropecuario. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 2.94 / 2 3.78
  • 1X2 market: Agropecuario 44.3% / X 31.3% / Patronato Parana 24.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 44.4%
X 31.3%
2 24.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Agropecuario
#1618 ptsGP 164-6-613:18
Patronato Parana
#1119 ptsGP 164-7-511:14
Best price across 12 books
1 2.15 Bet365
X 3.05 Unibet
2 4.13 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Agropecuario
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.20 xG 0.98 xGA 0.97
1 -3.95 X +1.60 2 +2.63 1 (DNB) -1.79
Patronato Parana
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.70 Conceded 0.80 xG 0.92 xGA 0.98
1 -2.10 X +1.30 2 -2.53 1 (DNB) -0.70

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Agropecuario
Rating 1498
Patronato Parana
Rating 1496

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

football.main.1x2: draw

odds 3.30 hist. ROI +7.2%

Value 10Bet DRAW @ 3.30 (EV +7%, Pinnacle fair 32%)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 07.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Agropecuario - Patronato Parana

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.78 market consensus · line only
X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 2.83 35.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5%
3.25 30.8% 3.94 25.4% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 5.80 17.2%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.06 94.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.15 87.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%
7.40 13.5%
12.00 8.3%
12.00 8.3%
1.11 90.1%
2.75 36.4%
4.50 22.2%
11.50 8.7%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
5.10 19.6%
Match center
Patronato Parana
D
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Patronato Parana 1:1 Tristan SuaresTristan Suares
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points