Argentina. Primera Nacional
Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Akasuso — 48%
Model estimate: win Akasuso 47.9%, draw 21.8%, win Kolon Santa Fe 30.3%. Model favourite — Akasuso.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 1.45 / 2 7.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.01 99.0% |
| yes | 10.50 9.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 2.45 40.8% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 10.50 9.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.80 35.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 6.90 14.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 11.50 8.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
Akasuso
San-Migel
Rasing Kordova
Chako For Ever
Ferro
Tsentral Norte
Kolon Santa Fe
Chako For Ever
Ferro
Deportivo Madrin
Defensores de Belgrano
Full head-to-head historyAkasuso - Kolon Santa Fe
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form