Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe

Football
Akasuso
Akasuso
- : -
Not started
Kolon Santa Fe
Kolon Santa Fe
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Akasuso48%

1 · Akasuso47.9%
X · draw21.8%
2 · Kolon Santa Fe30.3%

Model estimate: win Akasuso 47.9%, draw 21.8%, win Kolon Santa Fe 30.3%. Model favourite — Akasuso.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Akasuso. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 1.45 / 2 7.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 81.1%
1 54.7%
X 38.1%
2 7.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.30 ↓ 1.01
1X2 X 2.20 ↓ 1.45
1X2 P2 4.80 ↑ 7.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Akasuso 54.7% 47.9% market and model agree
Draw 38.1% 21.8% draw risk
Kolon Santa Fe 7.3% 30.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.9% / 21.8% / 30.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,417 / 1,481 Akasuso / Kolon Santa Fe
RD 187 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,043-1,791 / 881-2,080 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet · no value · model 30.3%
X 1.45 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 47.9%
Double chance
12 2.45 Fonbet · weak value +91.7% · model 78.2%
1X 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 69.7%
Handicap
2 0 2.80 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.01 99.0%
yes 10.50 9.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.45 40.8%
1x 1.08 92.6%
x2 10.50 9.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
12.00 8.3%
1.40 71.4%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
2.80 35.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 1.5 6.90 14.5%
Over 2.5 11.50 8.7%
Under 0.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 1.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Akasuso
D L D L W
27.07 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Akasuso 0:0 San-MigelSan-Migel
12.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Akasuso 2:3 Rasing KordovaRasing Kordova
05.07 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Akasuso 1:1 Chako For EverChako For Ever
14.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Akasuso 1:2 FerroFerro
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Akasuso 2:1 Tsentral NorteTsentral Norte
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Kolon Santa Fe
L L W W
26.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Kolon Santa Fe 0:1 Chako For EverChako For Ever
17.07 20:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Kolon Santa Fe 0:2 FerroFerro
05.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Kolon Santa Fe 2:1 Deportivo MadrinDeportivo Madrin
13.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Kolon Santa Fe 3:0 Defensores de BelgranoDefensores de Belgrano
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAkasuso - Kolon Santa Fe

Akasuso
0 matches total
Kolon Santa Fe
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history