Friendly. Clubs
Almagro face Gimnasia Tiro on August 5, 2026 in the Friendly. Clubs.
Recent form (W-D-L): Almagro 3-1-1, Gimnasia Tiro 3-2-0. The bookmaker line makes draw the favourite at about 33%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Almagro — 33%
Pure model vs market (1 · Almagro): model 34% · market 33% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Almagro 33.1%, draw 34.0%, win Gimnasia Tiro 32.9%. Model favourite — Almagro.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
score 0:2 · 81'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.78 36.0% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.75 36.4% | |
| X | 2.70 37.0% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.80 35.7% |
| 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.80 35.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.17 85.5% | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 4.15 24.1% | 2.32 43.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.42 70.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.34 74.6% | 1.32 75.8% | 3.55 28.2% |
| x2 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 0_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_1 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 3_2 | 41.00 2.4% |
Almagro
Gimnasia Tiro
Full head-to-head historyAlmagro - Gimnasia Tiro
The Almagro - Gimnasia Tiro breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
