PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown - Racing Cordoba

Football
Almirante Brown
Almirante Brown
- : -
Not started
Racing Cordoba
Racing Cordoba
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Almirante Brown — 39%

Pure model vs market (1 · Almirante Brown): model 39% · market 40% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Almirante Brown39.3%
X · draw35.9%
2 · Racing Cordoba24.9%

Model estimate: win Almirante Brown 39.3%, draw 35.9%, win Racing Cordoba 24.9%. Model favourite — Almirante Brown.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds2.56) Score 1:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.56)
  • • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Almirante Brown - Racing Cordoba August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Almirante Brown. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 2.69 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 40.3%
X 35.7%
2 24.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Almirante Brown
#1132 ptsGP 228-8-615:13
ARRAY
Racing Cordoba
#2027 ptsGP 227-6-922:26
ARRAY
Best price across 9 books
1 2.42 Pinnacle
X 2.75 Bet365
2 3.94 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Almirante Brown
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 0.70 Conceded 0.50 xG 0.86 xGA 0.93
Racing Cordoba
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.00 xGA 0.86

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Almirante Brown
Rating 1516 xG 1.17 Win 42%
Racing Cordoba
Rating 1481 xG 0.91 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 40.3% @ 2.38 / X 35.7% @ 2.69 / 2 24.0% @ 4.00
Match center

Almirante Brown - Racing Cordoba

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Almirante Brown 39.3% 39.3% market and model agree
Draw 36.5% 35.9% draw risk
Racing Cordoba 24.3% 24.9%
xG - 1.17 : 0.91

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 39.3% / 35.9% / 24.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,554 Almirante Brown / Rasing Kordova
RD 193 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,115-1,886 / 1,164-1,944 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.89 market consensus · no value · model 24.9%
X 2.56 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.35 market consensus · no value · model 39.3%
Double chance
12 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 64.1%
1X 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.1%
X2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 60.7%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.44 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.47 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.47 68.0%
yes 2.65 37.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%
x2 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.12 32.1%
X 1.80 55.6%
4.90 20.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.74 57.5%
Under 0.5 1.98 50.5%
Match center
Almirante Brown
D D D L
26.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Almirante Brown 0:0 Klub Atletiko MitreKlub Atletiko Mitre
17.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Almirante Brown 0:0 EstudiantesEstudiantes
11.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Almirante Brown 1:1 Oll BoysOll Boys
07.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Almirante Brown 0:1 Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron
0 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Racing Cordoba
L L W D W
26.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Racing Cordoba 0:2 San-TelmoSan-Telmo
17.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Racing Cordoba 0:1 Klub Atletiko MitreKlub Atletiko Mitre
12.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Racing Cordoba 3:2 AkasusoAkasuso
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Racing Cordoba 1:1 EstudiantesEstudiantes
14.06 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Racing Cordoba 2:0 Chako For EverChako For Ever
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points