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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
14.06.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

CD Maipu - Tristan Suarez

Football
CD Maipu
CD Maipu
0 : 1
Finished
Tristan Suarez
Tristan Suarez

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CD Maipu - Tristan Suarez June 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CD Maipu.

Line favourite market consensus: CD Maipu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 2.83 / 2 4.18
  • 1X2 market: CD Maipu 45.5% / X 32.4% / Tristan Suarez 22.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 45.5%
X 32.5%
2 22.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

football.main.1x2: draw

odds 3.00 hist. ROI +6.6%

Value BetVictor DRAW @ 3.00 (EV +7%, Pinnacle fair 36%)

LOW

Total goals: Under 3.5

odds 3.10 hist. ROI +2.0%

Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

CD Maipu - Tristan Suarez

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 0 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
X 2.80 35.7% 2.71 36.9% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 3.10 32.3%
4.33 23.1% 4.26 23.5% 4.75 21.1% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.01 99.0%
yes 10.50 9.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.70 37.0%
1x 9.00 11.1%
x2 1.05 95.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
12.00 8.3%
12.00 8.3%
2.45 40.8%
3.20 31.3%
10.50 9.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.28 78.1%
Match center
CD Maipu
L
07.06 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
CD Maipu 0:1 Klub A. GermesKlub A. Germes
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Tristan Suarez
D
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Tristan Suarez 1:1 PatronatoPatronato
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCD Maipu - Tristan Suarez

CD Maipu
0 matches total
Tristan Suarez
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history