Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
05.07.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Central Norte - Atletico San Miguel

Futbol
Central Norte
Central Norte
1 : 1
Finished
Atletico San Miguel
Atletico San Miguel

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Central Norte - Atletico San Miguel July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Central Norte.

Line favourite market consensus: Central Norte. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 2.70 / 2 3.44
  • 1X2 market: Central Norte 39.4% / X 33.9% / Atletico San Miguel 26.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 39.4%
X 34.0%
2 26.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Primera Nacional

Team stats

Central Norte
LLDLWLDLDW
W 2 • D 3 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 1.1
15 place, 18 pts
Atletico San Miguel
DLDDLWDDDW
W 2 • D 6 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:0.8 : 1.1
10 place, 24 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Central Norte 0, draws 0, Atletico San Miguel 1 (goals 0:1)
  • CA San Miguel — Central Norte2026-02-13 1:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Referee · coaches · venue

Match information

Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Central Norte - Atletico San Miguel

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 2.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.62 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.33 42.9% 2.23 44.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0%
X 2.65 37.7% 2.76 36.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4%
3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.65 60.6% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4% 5.10 19.6%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.27 30.6%
X 1.81 55.3%
4.49 22.3%
Match center
Central Norte
W L D
14.06 17:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Central Norte 2:0 San-TelmoSan-Telmo
06.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Central Norte 1:2 AkasusoAkasuso
31.05 17:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Central Norte 1:1 Chako For EverChako For Ever
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Atletico San Miguel
D D
14.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Atletico San Miguel 2:2 Deportivo MadrinDeportivo Madrin
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Atletico San Miguel 1:1 Syudad BolivarSyudad Bolivar
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points