Argentina. Primera Nacional
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Chacarita Juniors — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Chacarita Juniors): model 41% · market 42% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Chacarita Juniors 58.0%, draw 20.7%, win Agropecuario 21.3%. Model favourite — Chacarita Juniors.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chacarita Juniors.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.55 64.5% |
| yes | 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.01 33.2% | |
| X | 1.85 54.1% |
| 4.82 20.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.16 46.3% |
Chacarita Juniors
Tristan Suares
Khimnasiya Khukhuy
San-Martin San-Khuan
Nueva Chikago
Temperley
Agropecuario
San-Martin San-Khuan
Nueva Chikago
Temperley
Deportivo Maypu
Almagro
Full head-to-head historyChacarita Juniors - Agropecuario
The Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
