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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
13.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Ciudad Bolivar - Deportivo Moron

Football
Ciudad Bolivar
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 2
Finished
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Moron

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ciudad Bolivar - Deportivo Moron June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite market consensus: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 2.53 / 2 3.14
  • 1X2 market: Ciudad Bolivar 34.4% / X 36.3% / Deportivo Moron 29.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 34.4%
X 36.3%
2 29.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Ciudad Bolivar - Deportivo Moron

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.14 market consensus · line only
X 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.70 37.0% 2.68 37.3% 2.62 38.2% 2.77 36.1% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0%
X 2.50 40.0% 2.43 41.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%
3.00 33.3% 3.18 31.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.13 32.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 6.70 14.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.03 97.1%
1.02 98.0%
12.00 8.3%
3.50 28.6%
6.40 15.6%
9.50 10.5%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
7.40 13.5%
8.50 11.8%
9.50 10.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.07 93.5%
1.02 98.0%
12.00 8.3%
Match center
Ciudad Bolivar
D
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Ciudad Bolivar 1:1 San-MigelSan-Migel
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Deportivo Moron
W
07.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Deportivo Moron 1:0 Almirante BraunAlmirante Braun
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points