Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
05.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn - Kolon Santa Fe
1
:
2
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
2Kolon Santa Fe — odds 3.45 · edge +10.6% · 3 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Deportivo Madryn - Kolon Santa Fe July 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Madryn.
Line favourite market consensus: Deportivo Madryn. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 2.86 / 2 3.08
- 1X2 market: Deportivo Madryn 38.0% / X 32.2% / Kolon Santa Fe 29.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.8%
1
38.0%
X
32.2%
2
29.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Primera Nacional
Team stats
Deportivo Madryn
LWDWLWDDDW
W 4 • D 4 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.1
7 place, 28 pts
Kolon Santa Fe
LDDWDDDDWL
W 2 • D 6 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1 : 0.9
5 place, 29 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Deportivo Madryn 0, draws 2, Kolon Santa Fe 1 (goals 2:3)
- Colon — Dep. Madryn2026-02-14 2:1
- Colon — Dep. Madryn2024-10-26 1:1
- Dep. Madryn — Colon2024-06-09 0:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Referee · coaches · venue
Match information
Estadio Abel Satre (Puerto Madryn)
Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.
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Match center
Deportivo Madryn - Kolon Santa Fe
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1
7.90
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
3.65
Fonbet · line only
1X
7.70
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.55
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.02
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.73
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
3.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.23
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.33 42.9% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.45 40.8% | |
| X | 2.80 35.7% | 2.83 35.3% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.88 34.7% |
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.13 32.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% | 2.32 43.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 3.65 27.4% |
| 1x | 1.32 75.8% | 1.32 75.8% | 7.70 13.0% |
| x2 | 1.46 68.5% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.07 93.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.44 29.1% | |
| X | 1.83 54.6% |
| 4.13 24.2% |
Match center
Deportivo Madryn
D
W
Deportivo Madryn
2:2
San-Migel
San-Migel
Deportivo Madryn
3:2
Akasuso
Akasuso
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.5
Scored
2.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Madryn - Kolon Santa Fe
Deportivo Madryn
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals