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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
07.06.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
07.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Deportivo Moron - Almirante Brown

Football
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Moron
1 : 0
Finished
Almirante Brown
Almirante Brown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Moron - Almirante Brown June 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Moron.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportivo Moron. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 2.83 / 2 5.25
  • 1X2 market: Deportivo Moron 50.1% / X 32.4% / Almirante Brown 17.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 50.1%
X 32.4%
2 17.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Deportivo Moron
#131 ptsGP 169-4-324:13
Almirante Brown
#920 ptsGP 165-5-69:11
Best price across 11 books
1 1.87 Pinnacle
X 3.00 Bet365
2 5.68 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Deportivo Moron
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.02 xGA 0.73
1 +1.48 X -3.30 2 -2.75 1 (DNB) +0.08
Almirante Brown
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 0.50 Conceded 0.70 xG 0.88 xGA 0.87
1 -0.30 X -1.60 2 +1.15 1 (DNB) -0.37

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Deportivo Moron
Rating 1601
Almirante Brown
Rating 1489

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 07.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Deportivo Moron - Almirante Brown

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 market consensus · line only
X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
X 2.70 37.0% 2.81 35.6% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7%
5.25 19.1% 5.42 18.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.40 18.5% 4.75 21.1% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.03 97.1%
yes 9.00 11.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 8.50 11.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.20 83.3%
6.20 16.1%
11.50 8.7%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
11.50 8.7%
3.80 26.3%
1.07 93.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
12.00 8.3%