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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn

Futbol
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Moron
0 : 1
Finished
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Madryn

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn July 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Moron.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportivo Moron. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 2.95 / 2 4.65
  • 1X2 market: Deportivo Moron 48.9% / X 31.2% / Deportivo Madryn 19.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 49.0%
X 31.2%
2 19.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Deportivo Moron
#234 ptsGP 1910-4-527:17
LLWWW
Deportivo Madryn
#728 ptsGP 197-7-525:20
LWDDD
Best price across 14 books
1 1.97 Superbet
X 3.26 Pinnacle
2 5.50 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Deportivo Moron
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.90 xG 0.93 xGA 0.82
Deportivo Madryn
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.05 xGA 0.96

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Deportivo Moron
Rating 1583
Deportivo Madryn
Rating 1541

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportivo Moron 1 : 1 Deportivo Madryn
11.76
X3.04
24.95

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 16:57 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 19%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.0 Bet:shans 1X + Total menshe 2.5.
Claude updated11.07.2026 16:58 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 19%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 50% 31% 19% 1:0 Under 2.0 — shans 1X + Total menshe 2.5.
Claude 50% 31% 19% — — — 1

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Deportivo Moron 50%
💹 Market Deportivo Moron 4890%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.67 market consensus · line only
X 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 6.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
X 2.95 33.9% 2.96 33.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
4.60 21.7% 4.86 20.6% 5.00 20.0% 4.80 20.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.80 20.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.47 68.0%
yes 3.80 26.3% 2.63 38.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 5.10 19.6%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.07 93.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.50 18.2%
0_1 7.50 13.3%
0_2 19.00 5.3%
0_3 61.00 1.6%
1_0 4.00 25.0%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 46.00 2.2%
2_0 6.25 16.0%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 19.00 5.3%
2_3 61.00 1.6%
3_0 13.00 7.7%
3_1 15.00 6.7%
3_2 41.00 2.4%
3_3 101.00 1.0%
4_0 34.00 2.9%
4_1 41.00 2.4%
Match center
Deportivo Moron
W W
13.06 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Deportivo Moron 2:1 Syudad BolivarSyudad Bolivar
07.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Deportivo Moron 1:0 Almirante BraunAlmirante Braun
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Deportivo Madryn
L D W
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Deportivo Madryn 1:2 Kolon Santa FeKolon Santa Fe
14.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Deportivo Madryn 2:2 San-MigelSan-Migel
31.05 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Deportivo Madryn 3:2 AkasusoAkasuso
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points