Match center
Start
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
05.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Ferro - San-Telmo
2
:
1
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Ferro — 57%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ferro - San-Telmo July 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ferro.
Line favourite market consensus: Ferro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 3.41 / 2 6.34
- 1X2 market: Ferro 58.5% / X 26.9% / San-Telmo 14.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.8%
1
58.5%
X
27.0%
2
14.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Primera Nacional
Team stats
Ferro
WLWWWWDWWW
W 8 • D 1 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 0.6
2 place, 34 pts
San-Telmo
DWDDDLLDDW
W 2 • D 6 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:0.4 : 0.3
12 place, 20 pts
Head-to-head: 4 — Ferro 2, draws 0, San-Telmo 2 (goals 8:3)
- San Telmo — Ferro Carril Oeste2026-02-14 0:2
- San Telmo — Ferro Carril Oeste2022-07-03 2:0
- Ferro Carril Oeste — San Telmo2021-10-27 6:0
- San Telmo — Ferro Carril Oeste2021-06-27 1:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Referee · coaches · venue
Match information
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)
Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.
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Match center
Ferro - San-Telmo
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.37
market consensus · line only
X
3.41
market consensus · line only
1
1.57
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.08
market consensus · line only
X2
2.22
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5
2.16
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.66
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.52
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.47
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.46
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.66
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 6.20 16.1% | 6.29 15.9% | 7.50 13.3% | 6.70 14.9% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.50 15.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.46 68.5% |
| yes | 2.66 37.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.07 93.5% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.23 44.8% | 2.20 45.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.21 45.3% | |
| X | 2.00 50.0% |
| 7.90 12.7% |
Match center
Ferro
W
W
Ferro
2:1
Akasuso
Akasuso
Ferro
2:1
Chako For Ever
Chako For Ever
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFerro - San-Telmo
Ferro
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals