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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
12.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Ferrocarril Midland - Quilmes

Futbol
Ferrocarril Midland
Ferrocarril Midland
1 : 0
Finished
Q
Quilmes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ferrocarril Midland - Quilmes July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ferrocarril Midland.

Line favourite market consensus: Ferrocarril Midland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 2.85 / 2 3.52
  • 1X2 market: Ferrocarril Midland 41.6% / X 32.2% / Quilmes 26.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 41.6%
X 32.3%
2 26.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Ferrocarril Midland
#530 ptsGP 208-6-621:15
WDDLL
Quilmes
#1324 ptsGP 206-6-818:16
LWLWD
Best price across 13 books
1 2.88 Bet365
X 2.90 BetVictor
2 4.33 888Sport

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ferrocarril Midland
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.20 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.06 xGA 0.93
Quilmes
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 0.70 Conceded 0.80 xG 0.94 xGA 0.92

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ferrocarril Midland
Rating 1544
Quilmes
Rating 1508

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ferrocarril Midland 1 : 1 Quilmes
12.66
X2.67
22.80

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 18:01 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 22%
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 Bet:1
Claude updated11.07.2026 18:02 UTC
1 46% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 22%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 46% 32% 22% 0:0 Under 2.5 — 1
Claude 46% 32% 22% — — — 1

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 17:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Ferrocarril Midland 46%
💹 Market Ferrocarril Midland 4164%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Ferrocarril Midland - Quilmes

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.35 42.6% 2.27 44.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4%
X 2.85 35.1% 2.77 36.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
3.45 29.0% 3.58 27.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 1.64 61.0%
yes 6.20 16.1% 2.22 45.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.49 67.1% 1.52 65.8% 9.00 11.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.75 17.4%
0_1 6.50 15.4%
0_2 13.00 7.7%
0_3 41.00 2.4%
0_4 101.00 1.0%
1_0 4.75 21.1%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 31.00 3.2%
1_4 91.00 1.1%
2_0 8.00 12.5%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 46.00 2.2%
2_4 126.00 0.8%
3_0 19.00 5.3%
3_1 17.00 5.9%
3_2 34.00 2.9%
Match center
Ferrocarril Midland
D L W
05.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Ferrocarril Midland 1:1 Khimnasiya KhukhuyKhimnasiya Khukhuy
05.06 22:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Ferrocarril Midland 0:1 Khimnasiya i TiroKhimnasiya i Tiro
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Ferrocarril Midland 2:0 San-Martin TukumanSan-Martin Tukuman
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
4 Points
Quilmes
W
04.07 19:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Quilmes 2:1 Atletiko AtlantaAtletiko Atlanta
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points