Argentina. Primera Nacional
Quilmes go head-to-head with Gimnasia Jujuy on August 5, 2026 in the Argentina. Primera Nacional.
Recent form (W-D-L): Quilmes 1-0-3, Gimnasia Jujuy 3-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Quilmes — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Quilmes): model 35% · market 46% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Quilmes 45.0%, draw 30.3%, win Gimnasia Jujuy 24.7%. Model favourite — Quilmes.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 2.06 48.5% |
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% |
| x2 | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| X | 1.97 50.8% |
| 4.63 21.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.85 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Winline | 1.89 | 3.1 | 4 |
| Fonbet | 1.85 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Betcity | 1.93 | 3.2 | 4 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.92 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
Patronato
Kolekhiales
Midlend
Atletiko Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
Kolekhiales
Klub A. Germes
Chakarita Khuniors
Midlend
San-Martin San-Khuan
Full head-to-head historyQuilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy
The Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
