Argentina. Primera Nacional
Club Atlético Güemes take on Tristan Suarez on August 3, 2026 in the Argentina. Primera Nacional.
Recent form (W-D-L): Club Atlético Güemes 1-0-3, Tristan Suarez 4-1-0. The market favourite is draw at roughly 35%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Club Atlético Güemes — 35%
Pure model vs market (1 · Club Atlético Güemes): model 29% · market 35% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Club Atlético Güemes 34.9%, draw 35.3%, win Tristan Suarez 29.8%. Model favourite — Club Atlético Güemes.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.60 38.5% | |
| X | 2.55 39.2% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.70 37.0% |
| 3.00 33.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.13 32.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 0_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 1_1 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 1_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 3_0 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 3_1 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_2 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 3_3 | 81.00 1.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.51 66.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.98 50.5% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 2.42 41.3% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 2.83 35.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 4.05 24.7% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 5.85 17.1% |
| Over 3.25 | — | 6.30 15.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.60 38.5% | |
| X | 2.55 39.2% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.70 37.0% |
| 3.00 33.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.13 32.0% |
Club Atlético Güemes
Khimnasiya Khukhuy
Temperley
Deportivo Maypu
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
Chakarita Khuniors
San-Martin San-Khuan
Nueva Chikago
Deportivo Maypu
Patronato
Full head-to-head historyClub Atlético Güemes - Tristan Suarez
The Club Atlético Güemes - Tristan Suarez breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
