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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Kolekhiales - Khimnasiya i Tiro

Futbol
Kolekhiales
Kolekhiales
1 : 2
Finished
Khimnasiya i Tiro
Khimnasiya i Tiro

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kolekhiales - Khimnasiya i Tiro July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kolekhiales.

Line favourite market consensus: Kolekhiales. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 2.86 / 2 4.50
  • 1X2 market: Kolekhiales 47.4% / X 32.1% / Khimnasiya i Tiro 20.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 47.5%
X 32.1%
2 20.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Kolekhiales
#1323 ptsGP 196-5-818:19
LWWLD
Khimnasiya i Tiro
#1024 ptsGP 196-6-718:20
WDLWD
Best price across 13 books
1 2.04 Unibet
X 3.00 Bet365
2 5.35 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kolekhiales
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.20 Conceded 0.60 xG 0.92 xGA 0.88
Khimnasiya i Tiro
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.86 xGA 1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Kolekhiales
Rating 1511
Khimnasiya i Tiro
Rating 1493

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • Primera Nacional

Team stats

Kolekhiales
DDWLWDDLWW
W 4 • D 4 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.2 : 0.6
8 place, 23 pts
Khimnasiya i Tiro
LLLLWDDWLD
W 2 • D 3 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:0.7 : 1.1
14 place, 21 pts
Head-to-head: 3 — Kolekhiales 1, draws 0, Khimnasiya i Tiro 2 (goals 3:6)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro — Colegiales2026-02-14 2:1
  • Colegiales — Gimnasia y Tiro2025-09-20 2:0
  • Gimnasia y Tiro — Colegiales2025-05-18 4:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Kolekhiales - Khimnasiya i Tiro

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.05 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%
X 2.85 35.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.82 35.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5%
4.75 21.1% 4.55 22.0% 4.50 22.2% 5.00 20.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.43 69.9%
yes 2.76 36.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 5.90 17.0%
x2 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.68 37.3%
X 1.80 55.6%
6.60 15.2%
Match center
Kolekhiales
W L
13.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Kolekhiales 2:0 San-Martin TukumanSan-Martin Tukuman
06.06 17:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Kolekhiales 0:1 Atletiko RafaelaAtletiko Rafaela
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Khimnasiya i Tiro
W
05.06 22:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Khimnasiya i Tiro 1:0 MidlendMidlend
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points