Argentina. Primera Nacional
Patronato Parana - Villa Dalmine U20
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Patronato Parana — 37%
Pure model vs market (1 · Patronato Parana): model 40% · market 36% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Patronato Parana 36.8%, draw 32.9%, win Villa Dalmine U20 30.3%. Model favourite — Patronato Parana.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.81)
- • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Patronato Parana - Villa Dalmine U20 July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 2.87 / 2 3.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Patronato Parana - Villa Dalmine U20
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.57 63.7% |
| yes | 2.37 42.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.39 71.9% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% |
| x2 | 1.49 67.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.62 27.6% | |
| X | 1.83 54.6% |
| 3.87 25.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.71 36.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.41 70.9% |
Patronato Parana
Midlend
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Khimnasiya i Tiro
San-Martin Tukuman
Atletiko Rafaela
Kolekhiales
Midlend
Atletiko Atlanta
Full head-to-head historyPatronato Parana - Villa Dalmine U20
Match history
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The Patronato Parana - Villa Dalmine U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form