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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
12.07.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
12.07.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

San Martin Tucuman - Almagro

Futbol
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin Tucuman
3 : 0
Finished
Almagro
Almagro

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San Martin Tucuman - Almagro July 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like San Martin Tucuman.

Line favourite market consensus: San Martin Tucuman. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 3.25 / 2 6.31
  • 1X2 market: San Martin Tucuman 57.0% / X 28.3% / Almagro 14.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 57.1%
X 28.3%
2 14.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
San Martin Tucuman
#926 ptsGP 196-8-516:15
WDLDL
Almagro
#1225 ptsGP 197-4-816:19
WWWDW
Best price across 14 books
1 1.65 888Sport
X 3.40 Unibet
2 8.00 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
San Martin Tucuman
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.96 xGA 0.87
Almagro
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.70 xG 0.82 xGA 1.12

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
San Martin Tucuman
Rating 1526
Almagro
Rating 1502

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

San Martin Tucuman 0 : 0 Almagro
11.59
X3.22
26.26

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.07.2026 19:20 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 14%
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.0 Bet:Double chance home and total menshe (1X and Under 2.5) libo individualnyy total Almagro menshe 1.0.
Claude updated11.07.2026 19:22 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 14%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 58% 28% 14% 0:0 Under 2.0 — Double chance home and total menshe (1X and Under 2.5) libo individualnyy total Almagro menshe 1.0.
Claude 58% 28% 14% — — — 1

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Match center
Start 12.07.2026 19:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models San Martin Tucuman 58%
💹 Market San Martin Tucuman 5701%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

San Martin Tucuman - Almagro

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.32 market consensus · line only
X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
6.20 16.1% 6.16 16.2% 8.00 12.5% 6.70 14.9% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.13 88.5% 1.42 70.4%
yes 4.90 20.4% 2.80 35.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 11.00 9.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 5.75 17.4%
0_1 9.00 11.1%
0_2 26.00 3.9%
0_3 91.00 1.1%
1_0 3.95 25.3%
1_1 6.00 16.7%
1_2 17.00 5.9%
1_3 61.00 1.6%
2_0 5.25 19.1%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 21.00 4.8%
2_3 71.00 1.4%
3_0 10.00 10.0%
3_1 13.00 7.7%
3_2 34.00 2.9%
3_3 101.00 1.0%
4_0 23.00 4.4%
4_1 34.00 2.9%
Match center
San Martin Tucuman
W L L
05.07 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
San Martin Tucuman 1:0 PatronatoPatronato
13.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
San Martin Tucuman 0:2 KolekhialesKolekhiales
31.05 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
San Martin Tucuman 0:2 MidlendMidlend
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Almagro
W W
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Almagro 2:1 AgropekuarioAgropekuario
31.05 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Almagro 2:0 Klub A. GermesKlub A. Germes
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points