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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Temperley - Gimnasia Y Tiro

Football
Temperley
Temperley
- : -
Not started
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Temperley — 45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Temperley): model 44% · market 45% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Temperley44.9%
X · draw33.2%
2 · Gimnasia Y Tiro21.9%

Model estimate: win Temperley 44.9%, draw 33.2%, win Gimnasia Y Tiro 21.9%. Model favourite — Temperley.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds2.76) Score 1:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.76)
  • • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Temperley - Gimnasia Y Tiro August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Temperley. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 2.86 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 45.3%
X 33.1%
2 21.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Temperley
#437 ptsGP 229-10-323:18
ARRAY
Gimnasia Y Tiro
#1828 ptsGP 217-7-720:21
ARRAY
Best price across 10 books
1 2.23 Unibet
X 2.90 Bet365
2 4.45 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Temperley
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.40 Conceded 0.60 xG 0.93 xGA 0.90
Gimnasia Y Tiro
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.60 xG 0.87 xGA 1.02

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Temperley
Rating 1573 xG 1.21 Win 43%
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Rating 1515 xG 0.91 Win 28%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 45.3% @ 2.09 / X 33.1% @ 2.86 / 2 21.5% @ 4.40
Match center

Temperley - Gimnasia Y Tiro

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Temperley 44.9% 44.9% market and model agree
Draw 33.7% 33.2% draw risk
Gimnasia Y Tiro 21.4% 21.9%
xG - 1.21 : 0.91

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.9% / 33.2% / 21.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,719 / 1,663 Temperley / Atletico Rio Negro (w)
RD 193 / 199 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,332-2,105 / 1,265-2,061 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.34 market consensus · no value · model 21.9%
X 2.76 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.07 market consensus · no value · model 44.9%
Double chance
12 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 66.8%
1X 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 78.1%
X2 1.66 market consensus · no value · model 55.1%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.88 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.38 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.48 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.60 38.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.88 34.7%
X 1.83 54.6%
5.40 18.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.81 35.6%
Under 1 1.38 72.5%
Match center
Temperley
W W D W W
25.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Temperley 2:1 San-Martin TukumanSan-Martin Tukuman
17.07 21:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Temperley 2:0 Atletiko RafaelaAtletiko Rafaela
12.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Temperley 0:0 AgropekuarioAgropekuario
14.06 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Temperley 4:1 Klub A. GermesKlub A. Germes
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Temperley 1:0 Chakarita KhuniorsChakarita Khuniors
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Gimnasia Y Tiro
W D W W
26.07 19:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1:0 Deportivo MaypuDeportivo Maypu
12.07 18:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1:1 PatronatoPatronato
04.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Gimnasia Y Tiro 2:1 KolekhialesKolekhiales
05.06 22:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1:0 MidlendMidlend
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points