Match center
Start
29.07.2026 17:30 UTC
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29.07.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Central Norte - Los Andes
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Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Los Andes — 46%
Pure model vs market (2 · Los Andes): model 32% · market 6% Δ +26 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Central Norte 31.6%, draw 21.9%, win Los Andes 46.5%. Model favourite — Los Andes.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Central Norte - Los Andes July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / X 1.09 / 2 14.00
- Glicko: Central Norte 31.6% / X 21.9% / Los Andes 46.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.0%
1
10.1%
X
83.4%
2
6.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
3.75
↑ 9.00
1X2 X
1.45
↓ 1.09
1X2 2
7.50
↑ 14.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Central Norte - Los Andes
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 46.5% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.925 / LogLoss 1.518
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 46.5% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.925 / LogLoss 1.518
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Central Norte
10.1%
31.6%
market favourite
Draw
83.4%
21.9%
draw risk
Los Andes
6.5%
46.5%
Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
31.6% / 21.9% / 46.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,493 / 1,500
Central Norte / Los Andes
RD
204 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,086-1,901 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
1.09
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
9.00
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.6%
Double chance
12
5.60
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 78.1%
1X
1.02
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 53.5%
X2
1.04
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 68.4%
Handicap
2 0
2.20
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 5.60 17.9% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 1.04 96.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | |
| 2.20 45.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 11.50 8.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
Match center
Central Norte
W
W
D
W
L
Central Norte
1:0
Godoy Krus
Godoy Krus
Central Norte
2:0
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Moron
Central Norte
1:1
San-Migel
San-Migel
Central Norte
2:0
San-Telmo
San-Telmo
Central Norte
1:2
Akasuso
Akasuso
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
Los Andes
D
D
L
W
W
Los Andes
0:0
Kheneral Velaskes
Los Andes
0:0
Deportivo Madrin
Deportivo Madrin
Los Andes
1:2
Brujas Salamanca
Los Andes
3:1
Syudad Bolivar
Syudad Bolivar
Los Andes
2:1
Real San-Khoakin
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCentral Norte - Los Andes
Central Norte
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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